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International trade during a pandemic: boon or bane? a structural gravity approach

We empirically estimate the effects of the Corona pandemic on international trade. One hypothesis is that economies with a high degree of trade diversification are less harmed by pandemic-induced disruptions of trade flows. This analysis will give relevant insights for the management of global supply chain risks not only in times of a pandemic, but also regarding other emerging risks for the international trade system, such as trade wars or natural disasters induced by climate change.

Lead investigator:

Daniel Osberghaus


Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research

Primary topic:

Trade & supply chains

Secondary topic:

Recession & recovery

Region of data collection:


Country of data collection


Status of data collection


Type of data being collected:

Publicly available

Unit of real-time data collection