{"id":12617,"date":"2021-06-11T15:44:37","date_gmt":"2021-06-11T14:44:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/?post_type=question&#038;p=12617"},"modified":"2021-06-14T09:48:04","modified_gmt":"2021-06-14T08:48:04","slug":"international-rescue","status":"publish","type":"question","link":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/international-rescue","title":{"rendered":"International rescue"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Newsletter from Friday 11 June<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last week, the Economics Observatory celebrated its first birthday. Today, we mark 12 months of answering questions about coronavirus and the economy with the first issue of our new magazine. You can read <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/ECO-Issue-1.pdf\">ECO online<\/a> \u2013 but if, like many of us, you\u2019ve had enough of staring at a screen, a complimentary hard copy of the publication is available via the <a href=\"file:\/\/\/Users\/charliemeyrick\/Desktop\/buff.ly\/3uDCvze\">request form<\/a> on our website.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s also just over a year since our home base of Bristol made the front pages of all the world\u2019s papers with the toppling of the Colston statue. The Black Lives Matter protests that followed the murder of George Floyd in Minneapolis last May led scholars and teachers across the world to reflect on whether their work took adequate account of the global legacy of centuries of colonialism. In economics, for example, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/arunadvaniecon\">Arun Advani<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ImranRasul3\">Imran Rasul<\/a> and co-authors show that research on issues around <a href=\"https:\/\/voxeu.org\/article\/economics-and-study-race\">racial inequality<\/a> constitutes just a small fraction of the profession\u2019s output.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This week on the Observatory, our Bristol colleagues <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/economics_net\">Alvin Birdi<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/danielle_guizzo\">Danielle Guizzo<\/a> explore what it would mean to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/what-does-it-mean-to-decolonise-the-economics-curriculum\">\u2018decolonise\u2019 the economics curriculum<\/a>. This is a topic we\u2019ve looked at before in a couple of public conversations hosted by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bristolideas.co.uk\/projects\/festival-of-economics\/\">Bristol Festival of Economics<\/a> and summarised by <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cacrisalves\">Carolina Alves<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ingridharvold\">Ingrid Harvold Kvangraven<\/a>, who suggest the need for a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/economicsfest-does-economics-need-to-be-decolonised\">radical restructuring<\/a> of how the discipline is taught and researched. Alvin and Danielle discuss practical steps for decolonising courses, pointing out that economics has the tools for rigorous analysis of topics like slavery, colonial exploitation and racial injustices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cornish blues<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Global injustices are high on the agenda at the gathering of leaders of the rich G7 economies in Carbis Bay starting today. In particular, there is talk of a pledge to \u2018vaccinate the world\u2019 by delivering a billion doses of the Covid-19 vaccines to the poorest countries. As <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/toxvaerd1\">Flavio Toxvaerd<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/t0nyyates\">Tony Yates<\/a> have noted on the Observatory (and in our new magazine), despite powerful moral and economic arguments for ensuring global immunisation, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/vaccine-nationalism-why-do-some-countries-cooperate-and-others-go-it-alone\">vaccine nationalism<\/a> has led to a grossly unequal rollout. A commitment from Cornwall would be welcome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The world leaders enjoying their Cornish turbot and lobster might also briefly shift their perspective from the global economy to the local economy. ECO hub manager <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/charlie_meyrick\">Charlie Meyrick<\/a> has done just that in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/how-does-the-cornish-economy-compare-with-the-rest-of-the-uk\">data piece<\/a> highlighting Cornwall\u2019s low wages and high housing costs compared with the rest of the UK. What\u2019s more, employment in the county is dominated by hospitality and health and social care, with few opportunities in high-value, high-salary professions such as finance and insurance, or science and technology.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Employee job by sector (Cornwall compared with the South West region and the UK)<\/h4>\n\n\n<section class=\"blocks__chart\">\n    <div id=\"chatEmbed865647\" class=\"blocks__chart-svg\"><\/div>\n\n    <script>\n        var spec = {\"$schema\":\"https:\\\/\\\/vega.github.io\\\/schema\\\/vega-lite\\\/v5.json\",\"data\":{\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/raw.githubusercontent.com\\\/RDeconomist\\\/observatory\\\/main\\\/cornwall_jobtype_share.csv\"},\"width\":100,\"height\":400,\"mark\":\"bar\",\"encoding\":{\"column\":{\"field\":\"Sector\",\"type\":\"ordinal\",\"title\":\"\",\"spacing\":2},\"y\":{\"field\":\"Share\",\"type\":\"quantitative\",\"title\":\"Share of employee jobs\"},\"x\":{\"field\":\"Region\",\"axis\":{\"title\":\"\",\"labelAngle\":30},\"sort\":\"-y\"},\"color\":{\"field\":\"Region\",\"scale\":{\"range\":[\"#36b7b4\",\"#e54753\",\"#233a58\"]}}},\"config\":{\"view\":{\"stroke\":\"transparent\"},\"axis\":{\"domainWidth\":1}}};\n        var view = new vega.View(vega.parse(spec), {\n            responsive: true,\n            renderer: \"canvas\", \/\/ renderer (canvas or svg)\n            container: \"#chatEmbed865647\", \/\/ parent DOM container\n            hover: true \/\/ enable hover processing\n        });\n        view.run();\n\n        vegaEmbed('#chatEmbed865647', spec);\n    <\/script>\n<\/section>\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nomisweb.co.uk\/reports\/lmp\/la\/1946157349\/subreports\/ea_time_series\/report.aspx?\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ONS<\/a><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>On the bright side, the county\u2019s dependence on tourism as a source of revenue could be a positive during the post-Covid-19 recovery: travel restrictions have boosted demand for appealing domestic holiday spots like the Cornish coastline. In addition, high-income urbanites with a taste for continued remote working are increasingly looking to relocate to rural homes \u2013 though the rising house prices this brings won\u2019t be good news for lower-income locals hoping to get on the property ladder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Across the bridge<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The beaches of Cornwall have long been a popular destination for Bristolians like myself taking a break from work. So too is the Welsh south coast, a short trip from the city across the bridges over the River Severn. As part of the Observatory\u2019s continuing tour of the regions and nations of the UK, this week we metaphorically made that journey, inviting a team of economists at Cardiff University to outline the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/what-are-the-big-economic-challenges-facing-the-new-welsh-government\">economic challenges facing the new Welsh Government<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The piece by <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Guto_Ifan\">Guto Ifan<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jarodriguez849\">Jes\u00fas Rodr\u00edguez<\/a> and Cian Si\u00f4n is full of striking charts that reveal the impact of the pandemic and lockdowns on the labour market in Wales \u2013 and how the outcomes for unemployment, furlough, vacancies and working from home compare with those in England, Scotland and Northern Ireland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Unemployment rate (%) in the UK nations, aged 16 - 64<\/h4>\n\n\n<section class=\"blocks__chart\">\n    <div 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COVID-19\",\"c\":\"#c1a62c\"}]}};\n        var view = new vega.View(vega.parse(spec), {\n            responsive: true,\n            renderer: \"canvas\", \/\/ renderer (canvas or svg)\n            container: \"#chatEmbed905891\", \/\/ parent DOM container\n            hover: true \/\/ enable hover processing\n        });\n        view.run();\n\n        vegaEmbed('#chatEmbed905891', spec);\n    <\/script>\n<\/section>\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Source: Regional labour market statistics, HI00 Headline indicators for UK regions and countries ONS (April 2021)<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s more on the Welsh economy elsewhere on our website, including a recent piece on the combined impact of Covid-19 and Brexit on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/how-are-covid-19-and-brexit-affecting-ports-in-wales\">the nation\u2019s major ferry ports<\/a>. Trade through all ports was hit by the pandemic, but for some of them (Holyhead, Fishguard and Pembroke Dock), leaving the European Union has had a bigger negative impact as freight companies redirect to avoid the \u2018landbridge\u2019 to Europe through the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The beautiful game meets the dismal science<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Wales is one of three UK nations taking part in the UEFA European Football Championship \u2013 the postponed Euro 2020, still going by that name a year later, with the opening matches this weekend. Five years ago in France, Wales reached the semi-finals, while England were knocked out by Iceland in the Round of 16 and Scotland failed to qualify for the tournament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To find out what might happen this time, we consulted our sports economist colleagues at the University of Reading. Today on the Observatory, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jjreade\">James Reade<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/csingletonecon\">Carl Singleton<\/a>, along with <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AlexKrumer\">Alex Krumer<\/a> at Molde University in Norway, present the results of their statistical model of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/is-football-coming-home\">the probabilities of success for each of the 24 teams taking part in Euro 2020<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The main messages: the tournament favourite should be Belgium, who have a 24% probability of winning the title; the chances of \u2018football coming home\u2019 with an England win are 7%; Wales have a 9% chance of repeating their 2016 performance; and Scotland have a 36% chance of doing what they\u2019ve never done before and reach the knock-out stages of a major tournament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of course, results in the beautiful game are hard to predict, perhaps especially by dismal scientists. So the Reading team have issued a challenge to football fans everywhere: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reading.ac.uk\/news-and-events\/releases\/PR857235.aspx\">put your predictions for the scores in every match into their Euro 2020 game<\/a> and see if you can beat their model.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Coming up<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Next week on the Observatory, we\u2019ll be turning our attention to all things digital with a series of articles commissioned by <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DianeCoyle1859\">Diane Coyle<\/a>, one of our lead editors and founder of the Festival of Economics with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bristolideas.co.uk\/\">Bristol Ideas<\/a>. Among the topics on the agenda are the potential of information technologies for improving outcomes in healthcare; the dangers of the enormous market power concentrated in a handful of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/how-have-big-tech-and-other-digital-platforms-fared-crisis\">\u2018Big Tech\u2019 companies<\/a> whose digital platforms we all use daily; and the current sky-high <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/are-we-in-the-middle-of-a-tech-bubble\">stock market valuations<\/a> of those US tech giants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also worth a look is the list of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.res.org.uk\/resources-page\/vacancies-at-the-royal-economic-society.html\">professional opportunities<\/a> available with our friends at the Royal Economic Society (RES). They\u2019re advertising for new trustees and for economists to lead on their publications, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.res.org.uk\/event-listing\/2021-annual-conference.html\">RES annual conference<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.discovereconomics.co.uk\/\">Discover Economics<\/a>, a campaign to increase diversity among students of economics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, a few words of thanks: a year ago, with funding from the Economic and Social Research Council (<a href=\"https:\/\/esrc.ukri.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ESRC<\/a>) and hosting for the pilot stage by the Institute for Fiscal Studies (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifs.org.uk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">IFS<\/a>), we were able to mobilise the expertise of economists from a wide range of universities and research institutions to launch the Observatory. On 1 June 2020, we published 40 Q&A articles on the website, a number that has since grown to over 330 \u2013 with many more in the pipeline for the coming weeks and months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I am grateful to the many people and organisations that have contributed to ECO\u2019s growth, not least ESRC and the University of Bristol, which is now hosting our hub. I would particularly like to thank <a href=\"https:\/\/ifs.org.uk\/people\/profile\/37\">Rachel Griffith<\/a> (IFS, Manchester and a recent president of the RES), whose scholarship, dynamism and commitment to effective communication of economic ideas and evidence made such a key contribution to our early development.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rachel and our whole team of lead editors remain deeply involved as we move to the next stage, continuing our work on the crisis and its aftermath, but also addressing questions about other big challenges, including devolution, digital technology, food insecurity, inequality and climate change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Author: Romesh Vaitilingam, Editor-in-Chief<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Photo by Alexander Andrews on Unsplash<\/h6>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":12618,"template":"","categories":[231,228,233,492],"tags":[524,613,612,614,615],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>International rescue - Economics Observatory<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A busy weekend in international affairs kicks off with G7 leaders discussing the recovery from Covid-19 at the summit in Cornwall \u2013 and the opening matches in the UEFA European Football Championship, postponed from 2020. 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