{"id":8412,"date":"2020-07-09T08:38:40","date_gmt":"2020-07-09T07:38:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy"},"modified":"2020-07-09T08:38:40","modified_gmt":"2020-07-09T07:38:40","slug":"how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy","status":"publish","type":"ongoing-research","link":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy","title":{"rendered":"How does the Covid-19 outbreak affect people&#x2019;s expectation about the macroeconomy?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>We conduct an incentivized online experiment to investigate the effect of Covid-19 on people\u2019s expectation about the macroeconomy including economic growth rate, inflation rate, house price, and personal consumption, saving, and investment. We elicit subject\u2019s risk attitudes, ambiguity attitudes, time preference, and investigate their correlations with expectations about the macroeconomy. We find that ambiguity averse subjects are more likely to hold the belief that Covid-19 will lower the economic growth rate. Expectation on inflation is positively correlated with expected money supply growth. Ambiguity averse subjects are more likely to reduce their consumption and save more due to the Covid-19 outbreak. We document heterogeneity in expectations following the outbreak. We propose a simple model to account for how the outbreak affects expectation of economic growth through the channel of ambiguity aversion. Implications for monetary policy are discussed.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"template":"","categories":[],"frequency":[],"type_of_data":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How does the Covid-19 outbreak affect people&#x2019;s expectation about the macroeconomy? - Economics Observatory<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How does the Covid-19 outbreak affect people&#x2019;s expectation about the macroeconomy? - Economics Observatory\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"We conduct an incentivized online experiment to investigate the effect of Covid-19 on people\u2019s expectation about the macroeconomy including economic growth rate, inflation rate, house price, and personal consumption, saving, and investment. We elicit subject\u2019s risk attitudes, ambiguity attitudes, time preference, and investigate their correlations with expectations about the macroeconomy. We find that ambiguity averse [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Economics Observatory\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@econobservatory\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy\",\"name\":\"How does the Covid-19 outbreak affect people&#x2019;s expectation about the macroeconomy? - Economics Observatory\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2020-07-09T07:38:40+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-07-09T07:38:40+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"How does the Covid-19 outbreak affect people&#x2019;s expectation about the macroeconomy?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/\",\"name\":\"Economics Observatory\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Economics Observatory\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Logo-for-Twitter.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Logo-for-Twitter.png\",\"width\":540,\"height\":392,\"caption\":\"Economics Observatory\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/econobservatory\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/economics-observatory\/\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"How does the Covid-19 outbreak affect people&#x2019;s expectation about the macroeconomy? - Economics Observatory","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"How does the Covid-19 outbreak affect people&#x2019;s expectation about the macroeconomy? - Economics Observatory","og_description":"We conduct an incentivized online experiment to investigate the effect of Covid-19 on people\u2019s expectation about the macroeconomy including economic growth rate, inflation rate, house price, and personal consumption, saving, and investment. We elicit subject\u2019s risk attitudes, ambiguity attitudes, time preference, and investigate their correlations with expectations about the macroeconomy. We find that ambiguity averse [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy","og_site_name":"Economics Observatory","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@econobservatory","twitter_misc":{"Estimated reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy","url":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy","name":"How does the Covid-19 outbreak affect people&#x2019;s expectation about the macroeconomy? - Economics Observatory","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/#website"},"datePublished":"2020-07-09T07:38:40+00:00","dateModified":"2020-07-09T07:38:40+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-GB","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/ongoing-research\/how-does-the-covid-19-outbreak-affect-peoples-expectation-about-the-macroeconomy#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"How does the Covid-19 outbreak affect people&#x2019;s expectation about the macroeconomy?"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/","name":"Economics Observatory","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-GB"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/#organization","name":"Economics Observatory","url":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-GB","@id":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Logo-for-Twitter.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Logo-for-Twitter.png","width":540,"height":392,"caption":"Economics Observatory"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/twitter.com\/econobservatory","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/economics-observatory\/"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ongoing-research\/8412"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ongoing-research"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/ongoing-research"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ongoing-research\/8412\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8412"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8412"},{"taxonomy":"frequency","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/frequency?post=8412"},{"taxonomy":"type_of_data","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.economicsobservatory.com\/test\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/type_of_data?post=8412"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}